Tuesday, October 21, 2008

>Amibroker Formula language (AFL's)

Hi Friends,
Uploading few more AFL's ,If you like them download them fast as
They get deleted after some time.These AFL's will work only with AMIBROKER
also you should know how to use them.
Here is the list


1 Head & Shoulders Pattern.afl

2 Pattern Recognition Exploration.afl


3 Woodie's Intraday CCI.afl



Regards

Rish



Monday, October 20, 2008

>Cash Rich Companies

Analysts at Société Générale are anticipating an increase in corporate mergers and acquisitions activity even amid the turmoil in the global markets, with companies using funds on their balance sheets to take advantage of targets’ low share prices.These firms have low share prices but plenty of cash on their books
Below table shows companies with low market cap than cash on books.



Companies with a strong net-cash position are in a position to benefit from greater visibility on the global economic situation and attractive valuations.

The Société Générale research said: “For those prepared to look through the haze, interesting opportunities may present themselves. Indeed, as access to capital tightens, competition for assets from competitors should dissipate and prices may fall.”

Regards
Rish

>Ranbaxy The Japanese MNC!!!

Ranbaxy Laboratories board of directors Monday approved a preferential allotment of shares warrants to Daiichi Sankyo Co. Ltd, leading to the Japanese drug firm acquiring a controlling 52.5% equity stake in the Indian drug maker.

Ranbaxy said it received INR35.85 billion ($736 million) from Daiichi Sankyo through the preferential allotment of shares and warrants. Daiichi Sankyo had offered to buy a controlling stake in Ranbaxy June 11, when Ranbaxy founders accepted an offer to sell a 34.8% stake to the Japanese company at INR737 a share.

The deal also involved an open offer to Ranbaxy shareholders at INR737 a share, which Daiichi Sankyo recently completed. Additionally, the deal included a preferential allotment of 46.26 million new shares and 23.83 million shares worth of new warrants to Daiichi Sankyo at INR737 a share. To date, Daiichi has acquired a 52.5% equity stake, comprising 220.69 million Ranbaxy shares - 92.52 million shares from the open offer, 46.26 million shares from the preferential allotment of shares, and 81.91 million shares from the company's founders.

"We (also) moved to transfer a substantial part of the (34.8%) founders' stake in Ranbaxy to Daiichi today. We expect to transfer the remaining 12%-13% stake in the next few days," Ranbaxy Chief Executive & Managing Director Malvinder Singh told Dow Jones Newswires. The deal will close once Ranbaxy's founding Singh family transfers this remaining stake to Daiichi.

Singh said Monday's stake transfer to Daiichi was done via an off-market transaction. Ranbaxy's founding family had to take the off-market route after it didn't get Indian regulatory approval for transferring the stake to Daiichi via block deals through the stock exchanges. "The substantial cash being infused by Daiichi Sankyo at this stage will be used to expand our business aggressively through the organic and inorganic routes," Singh said.

"We are delighted to announce the realization of the global alliance with Ranbaxy. Two strong presences in innovation and the fast growing business of nonproprietary pharmaceuticals united, this hybrid business model will boost Daiichi Sankyo to achieve our goal to become a world-class pharmaceutical innovator, a global pharma innovator," Daiichi Sankyo President & Chief Executive Takashi Shoda said in a joint statement.

"Ranbaxy will continue to operate as an independent and autonomous company and will closely cooperate with Daiichi Sankyo to explore and optimize the growth opportunities across the pharmaceutical value chain," the statement said.

Malvinder Singh will be appointed chairman of the board of directors in addition to his existing responsibilities as chief executive and managing director of Ranbaxy, the statement said, adding Singh will also become a member of the senior global management of Daiichi Sankyo.

Sunday, October 19, 2008

>Nifty analysis

What do all of the following items have in common?
a) A needle in a haystack
b) A diamond in the rough
c) A confident investor in the INDIAN stock market.

Answer: They’re all next to impossible to find.

This October month is by far worst month since 2003 where 1st wave started on monthly chart.
We have already lost 22% in NIFTY this month with still 7,8 trading days pending.
Stocks are falling like cards,No support looks solid enough to hold this avalanche.
The biggest stock RELIANCE which holds 12% weightage in Nifty fell 5-9% consistently for the last 2 weeks,Which ensured that any relief rally which came got fizzled out in few days.
A positive point here Bluechip falling signals bad days are numbered.

On chart RELIANCE looks like should give a corrective bounce within next 100-120 points fall.

Coming back to "NIFTY"

The monthly chart suggests we are in 4th wave
Since wave 2 was small in size and time expect 4th wave to be big in size(which it already is)
as well as time consuming,So thinking that we would be out of this soon would be futile.


This could be a nightmare for INVESTORS but delight for Traders.

INVESTORS would have to adapt to the present conditions,They cannot just buy and sleep.
once you get 20-50% take your profits or Trail them and wait for next opportunity.

New high looks elusive for next 1-2 years at least .

With this slowdown in place ,Companies would have to cut down on many expenditures.
And usually the scissor falls on marketing.
Due to which I feel online marketing + Advertising would be more viable.
Try to find companies which are directly or indirectly get influenced by this
Do let me know too :) write in comments.

Coming back to "NIFTY"

As we witnessed each rally got washed out in few days.
We end up making a new low every time a rally is fizzled.
In this process we are making lower highs and lower lows.
An ideal case for falling wedge.
So keep this in mind and lookout for such pattern.

As for the chart 2000 in NIFTY is the crude sl for this 4th wave as below that the whole assumption of our waves goes for a toss .

Before that 2550-2600 the 2006 june lows is a very good support level.

Even before that 3000-2800 band too looks promising . We will see in coming days how these levels react .

Regards
Rish