Monday, March 31, 2014

BANKNIFTY and RBI POLICY

Hi friends,
                   Tomorrow being RBI Policy day all eyes would be on banknifty
35% stake holder in nifty so what ever happen in banknifty it largely affects
nifty as well.
This march month banknifty rose 18%+.Lets see technically what banknifty
looks like right now.
Let me put the wave count chart .
BANKNIFTY and RBI POLICY
The chart is well labeled
We saw a top in end 2010
followed bt a retest in early
2013,And now almost near
that top .
Now right now we have a
moderate bullish count
and a severe bullish count
active here we could be
forming a triangle which
suggests we dont cross the

high ,we may retest and correct down and break resistance later sometime
The big bull case says we did a leading diagonal from the start of 2012 and ended
at double top in mid 2013 so we could have done 1 or a wave leading diagonal
then we had a severe correction retracing 80% of the rally and now again we are
up and almost knocking the double top resistance.Lets see how banknifty moves
after policy .

Regards
Rish

UNITECH wave Targets

Hi friends,
                   Unitech is one of the most beaten stocks in Real estate sector .
On weekly chart the stock has started to move up above an important
trendline support
Lets see the chart.
The chaet is self explantory
A nice squeeze has developed
over many years ,This should
target minimum 26 ie the upper
resistance trendline in any of the
2 cases have labeled in chart.
This stock went below yellow
trendline for sometime but
eventually reversed and closed
above that strongly.


Lets see the last leg structure to get a closer look
We can see from the chart
the stock has reversed on good
volumes after 5 down so a nice
upmove is expected in it.This
view holds as long as the stock
holds above 11 ,This can be
bought in dips for a target of 18
20 and eventually 26.





Regards
Rish

Nifty wave counts 31st march

Hi friends,
                     Nifty continues its upward movement
on friday it has done 3=(1.6)*1 ,Which suggests we are in resistance zone
and can have a breather here in range 6700-6720.If it stretches we can calculate
it later ,Below 6640 it would confirm 3 rd wave or c wave is finished.
lets see the chart.
Nifty wave counts 31st march
So continue to hold
longs till 6640 is held
Overall nifty is either
in 3rd wave or c wave
in these waves the
index or stock moves
even in extreme oversold
or overbought conditions
we see exteme greed and
fear in these waves only.


Lets see how nifty moves today .

Regards
Rish

Saturday, March 29, 2014

Why Learn Elliottwave (Maharastra bank)

Hi friends,
                    Weekends usually demand a descriptive knowledgeable post,Continueing
with my Heading Why learn Elliottwave ,Would share an example how a big move
can be captured using Wave principle .
Now time has changed any news or calamity which happens in any part of the world
reaches to you in minutes ,And if its directly or indirectly related to a stock it affects
its price spontaneously,Unlike old days when things usually took more than a day.
My point in saying this was to show how the scenario has changed and envirnment
has changed and it requires a trader to adapt to the changing situations along with
changing market cycles.
A trader has to adapt to the changing time ,Market is evolving continuously so to have
edge over other traders one need to be well equipped and ahead of others.
Today i am giving an example of how a big move can be captured
Let me put the chart of Maharastra bank.
Why Learn Elliottwave (Maharastra bank)
I have labeled chart extensively
So that one can figure out
what the stock is doing.
We had a time consuming
abc done over 3 years ,
The interesting thing is
A=C (yellow ),Even the
abc of bigger B wave ie in
white colour also shows
a=c.The bigger ABC
we can easily see 5 waves in

C wave which gives the confidence that the wave is nearing end,Still to be on safer side
we should have a trendline drawn from 2nd top to 4th top and once that trendline gets broken
we can be sure of that a new wave has started.The new wave which has started should target
55,Once thats come we can figure out next target.This stock has already done 20% move
after breakout which is a great move to capture.
This is just one example of trade setup elliottwave principle helps us to find with defined
risk reward.