Saturday, September 20, 2008

>Shorting ban???? not likely


Friends ,
We saw orchestral rises in stock markets world over in last few days.

Let me give my 2 gray bytes to this SHORTING saga.World over we saw massive onslaught by bears since a month or so with in between deep cuts ,We saw all major world indexes making new 2008 lows kind of cascading effect of American financial turmoil.
Did we see its effect on INDIA?

In my words to a lesser extent as compared to world markets.There every financial index was making newer lows every other day(They deserved it their banks were on weak foundation) ,But here back home in INDIA Banks were the one which were holding on and are near to there 2008 highs(Tried alot to figure out why they held strong one valid reason i think is they selling dollar what they bought near 39and presently near 46+).

So under such scenario asking for shorting ban is INDIA looks bit a wishful thinking. Overall with out BEARS Markets wont be good for trading :)Also the kind of fall BRICS countries faced recently INDIA is the only one which is least affected .Why UK ,Russia banned naked shorting there because it was going out of control.Also if any of you read an .pdf File from HSBC they tittled that article as
"INDIANS ARE THE LONE BULLS IN WORLD"
so asking about ban on shorting is not justified.

Regards
Rish

Do give your comments.

Monday, September 08, 2008

>Is India poor, who says? Ask Swiss banks

DISHONEST INDUSTRIALISTS, scandalous politicians and corrupt IAS, IRS, IPS officers have deposited in foreign banks in their illegal personal accounts a sum of about $ 1500 billion, which have been misappropriated by them. This amount is about 13 times larger than the country’s foreign debt. With this amount 45 crore poor people can get Rs 1,00,000 each. This huge amount has been appropriated from the people of India by exploiting and betraying them.

Once this huge amount of black money and property comes back to India, the entire foreign debt can be repaid in 24 hours. After paying the entire foreign debt, we will have surplus amount, almost 12 times larger than the foreign debt. If this surplus amount is invested in earning interest, the amount of interest will be more than the annual budget of the Central government. So even if all the taxes are abolished, then also the Central government will be able to maintain the country very comfortably.

Some 80,000 people travel to Switzerland every year, of whom 25,000 travel very frequently. “Obviously, these people won’t be tourists. They must be travelling there for some other reason,” believes an official involved in tracking illegal money. And, clearly, he isn’t referring to the commerce ministry bureaucrats who’ve been flitting in and out of Geneva ever since the World Trade Organisation (WTO) negotiations went into a tailspin!

Just read the following details and note how these dishonest industrialists, scandalous politicians, corrupt officers, cricketers, film actors, illegal sex trade and protected wildlife operators, to name just a few, sucked this country’s wealth and prosperity. This may be the picture of deposits in Swiss banks only. What about other international banks?

Black money in Swiss banks -- Swiss Banking Association report, 2006 details bank deposits in the territory of Switzerland by nationals of following countries:

Top five
India---- $1456 billion
Russia---$ 470 billion
UK-------$390 billion
Ukraine- $100 billion
China-----$ 96 billion

Now do the maths - India with $1456 billion or $1.4 trillion has more money in Swiss banks than rest of the world combined. Public loot since 1947: Can we bring back our money? It is one of the biggest loots witnessed by mankind -- the loot of the Aam Aadmi (common man) since 1947, by his brethren occupying public office. It has been orchestrated by politicians, bureaucrats and some businessmen. The list is almost all-encompassing. No wonder, everyone in India loots with impunity and without any fear.

What is even more depressing in that this ill-gotten wealth of ours has been stashed away abroad into secret bank accounts located in some of the world’s best known tax havens. And to that extent the Indian economy has been stripped of its wealth. Ordinary Indians may not be exactly aware of how such secret accounts operate and what are the rules and regulations that go on to govern such tax havens. However, one may well be aware of ’Swiss bank accounts,’ the shorthand for murky dealings, secrecy and of course pilferage from developing countries into rich developed ones.

In fact, some finance experts and economists believe tax havens to be a conspiracy of the western world against the poor countries. By allowing the proliferation of tax havens in the twentieth century, the western world explicitly encourages the movement of scarce capital from the developing countries to the rich.

In March 2005, the Tax Justice Network (TJN) published a research finding demonstrating that $11.5 trillion of personal wealth was held offshore by rich individuals across the globe. The findings estimated that a large proportion of this wealth was managed from some 70 tax havens.

Further, augmenting these studies of TJN, Raymond Baker -- in his widely celebrated book titled ’Capitalism’s Achilles Heel: Dirty Money and How to Renew the Free Market System’ -- estimates that at least $5 trillion have been shifted out of poorer countries to the West since the mid-1970.
It is further estimated by experts that one per cent of the world’s population holds more than 57 per cent of total global wealth, routing it invariably through these tax havens. How much of this is from India is anybody’s guess.

What is to be noted here is that most of the wealth of Indians parked in these tax havens is illegitimate money acquired through corrupt means. Naturally, the secrecy associated with the bank accounts in such places is central to the issue, not their low tax rates as the term ’tax havens’ suggests. Remember Bofors and how India could not trace the ultimate beneficiary of those transactions because of the secrecy associated with these bank accounts? IS THERE ANY ONE WHO WOULD SAVE INDIA ?God... No No No, even he can’t..........!!

Source:-www.merinews.com

Sunday, September 07, 2008

>High volumes not bullish always!!

Volumes say diffrent things at diffrent times:)

An important concept that many traders miss is that heavy volume is not always bullish.

Heavy volume is valuable during a breakout or at an important low. However, heavy volume with no substantial movement signals that one party is "distributing" the stock to another.

When there is heavy volume AFTER a strong uptrend, it's usually institutions distributing stock to retail investors. When you see heavy volume AFTER a long trend low, then it's usually institutions accumulating from retail investors.

Notice the common theme?

Institutions are rarely transparent with their intentions, however, they can't hide the volume they trade:D.

This is time tested thing may not be true always:)

Regards
Rish

Wednesday, September 03, 2008

>SBI Autopsy:)

SBI chart structure shows 5 up done in hourly time frame also waves followed Elliot principles
W3=1.6W1 ,If this count is correct SBI is heading for a good fall.





Lets talk more about wave counts
Near 1600 5 wave up done
A 1600-1300(Clear 5 down)
B 1300-1548(3 wave)
here in B >>> c=1.6a( looks steep) so lil confusion thrustfull B?
If this wave counts are true SBI is heading for atleast couple of 100's fall.

Lets discuss another wave count

1000-1600 3 wave up

1600-1300 4th wave

now 5 th wave in progress

well if this case is true SBI can touch recent highs again.

lets get little more closer :)

lets take this 5th up

As of now looks like 3 waves done and 3=1.6(1 ) followed clearly so 4th can start anytime,
Before 5th up.

One important conclusion after this wave talk

SBI is headed for some fall. How much?

We will see in coming days this second count fails if we go below 1400.

Regards
Rish