Wednesday, December 03, 2008

>Top 20 cash rich companies

In the current scenario, where every event is marked with
uncertainties and good companies are available at never-seenbefore
valuations, we decided to conduct an analysis based on
cash balances with the companies.

In this approach, we have undertaken the following steps –
1. We chose BSE 500 (excluding banking stocks) as our
universe, thereby covering ~84% of the BSE market
capitalization.

2. We ranked the companies on the basis of Net Cash Balance
as a percentage of Market Capitalization.

3. In step 2, we found 147 companies to be net cash positive as
per the last audited results. The remaining companies were
excluded from further analysis.

4. Thereafter, we removed the companies with a market
capitalization of less than Rs 2,000 crore. After this, we
were left with 20 companies.

5. The top 8 (on the basis of ranks in step 2) of these 20
companies have been presented in this report, alongwith
our views.

The Top 8

• Hindustan Zinc
• NALCO
• Bharat Electronics
• MTNL
• Neyveli Lignite Corporation
• Satyam Computers
• Thermax
• Maruti Suzuki

Read full report here Top 20 cash rich companies

RESEARCH REPORTS

>Letter to PRIME MINISTER

Dear Mr. Prime minister

I am a typical mouse from Mumbai. In the local train compartment which has capacity of 100 persons, I travel with 500 more mouse. Mouse at least squeak but we don't even do that.

Today I heard your speech. In which you said 'NO BODY WOULD BE SPARED'. I would like to remind you that fourteen years has passed since serial bomb blast in Mumbai took place. Dawood was the main conspirator. Till today he is not caught. All our bolywood actors, our builders, our Gutka king meets him but your Government can not catch him. Reason is simple; all your ministers are hand in glove with him. If any attempt is made to catch him everybody will be exposed. Your statement 'NOBODY WOULD BE SPARED' is nothing but a cruel joke on this unfortunate people of India .

Enough is enough. As such after seeing terrorist attack carried out by about a dozen young boys I realize that if same thing continues days are not away when terrorist will attack by air, destroy our nuclear reactor and there will be one more Hiroshima .

We the people are left with only one mantra. Womb to Bomb to Tomb. You promised Mumbaikar Shanghai what you have given us is Jalianwala Baug.

Today only your home minister resigned. What took you so long to kick out this joker? Only reason was that he was loyal to Gandhi family. Loyalty to Gandhi family is more important than blood of innocent people, isn't it?

I am born and bought up in Mumbai for last fifty eight years. Believe me corruption in Maharashtra is worse than that in Bihar . Look at all the politician, Sharad Pawar, Chagan Bhujbal, Narayan Rane, Bal Thackray, Gopinath Munde, Raj Thackray, Vilasrao Deshmukh all are rolling in money. Vilasrao Deshmukh is one of the worst Chief minister I have seen. His only business is to increase the FSI every other day, make money and send it to Delhi so Congress can fight next election. Now the clown has found new way and will increase FSI for fisherman so they can build concrete house right on sea shore. Next time terrorist can comfortably live in those house, enjoy the beauty of sea and then attack the Mumbai at their will.

Recently I had to purchase house in Mumbai. I met about two dozen builders. Everybody wanted about 30% in black. A common person like me knows this and with all your intelligent agency & CBI you and your finance minister are not aware of it.. Where all the black money goes? To the underworld isn't it? Our politicians take help of these goondas to vacate people by force. I myself was victim of it. If you have time please come to me, I will tell you everything.

If this has been land of fools, idiots then I would not have ever cared to write you this letter. Just see the tragedy, on one side we are reaching moon, people are so intelligent and on other side you politician has converted nectar into deadly poison. I am everything Hindu, Muslim, Christian, Schedule caste, OBC, Muslim OBC, Christian Schedule caste, Creamy Schedule caste only what I am not is INDIAN. You politician have raped every part of mother India by your policy of divide and rule.

Take example of former president Abdul Kalam. Such a intelligent person, such a fine human being. You politician didn't even spare him. Your party along with opposition joined the hands, because politician feels they are supreme and there is no place for good person.

Dear Mr Prime minister you are one of the most intelligent person, most learned person. Just wake up, be a real SARDAR. First and foremost expose all selfish politician. Ask Swiss bank to give name of all Indian account holder. Give reins of CBI to independent agency. Let them find wolf among us.. There will be political upheaval but that will better than dance of death which we are witnessing every day. Just give us ambient where we can work honestly and without fear. Let there be rule of law. Everything else will be taken care of.

Choice is yours Mr. Prime Minister. Do you want to be lead by one person or you want to lead the nation of 100 Crore people?
Prakash B. Bajaj
Chandralok 'A" Wing, Flat No 104
97 Nepean Sea Road
Mumbai 400 036
Phone 98210-71194

PS:-Read this and send to as many people possible
RESEARCH REPORTS

Tuesday, December 02, 2008

>My biggest mistakes ( in india stock market)

It's not as if they were born with their stock-picking skills. They
learned–and are still learning–the hard way. Says BSE (Bombay Stock
Exchange) member Rakesh Jhunjhunwala: "You learn the stock market by
trial and error. Without making mistakes in the market, you will never
be able to progress in it." What's important is to spot the mistakes,
learn from them, and move on.Five veterans of the Indian stock markets
talk about their worst blunders, and the lessons they learned the hard
way.There are great lessons and many little nuggets of investment
wisdom–on market behaviour, valuation methods, portfolio management,
investor mindsets–in their stories. Over to the gurus in their own words.

1)Motilal Oswal
Chairman and managing director, Motilal Oswal Securities

In 1992-93,I bought shares of a glass company at Rs 1,600. The price
crashed, and I exited when it was Rs 60. Why did I buy the stock? The
outcry system was in vogue, and everyone on the floor used to share
information, which was our idea of research. If I liked an idea,I just
bought the scrip.

We never invested with a time horizon. If the share price went up, we
booked profits. We followed no investment strategy and did not bother
with research. At one point, I had 125 scrips in my portfolio.
Eventually, at the end of the year, I sold those that made a profit and
held on to those that showed a loss. Obviously, the total return on my
portfolio was not worth the effort put in.After that, I decided to prune
my portfolio to 30 stocks–and booked more losses in the process. I
decided to invest the money left with me wisely, balancing my portfolio
with a long-term outlook. Now, I hold every stock for at least one year,
and then, depending on the market situation, decide what to do with each.

Lessons:Do your homework well.While choosing a stock, you could use
either the top-down approach or the bottom-up approach.Don't follow the
herd.Don't buy (or sell) just because everybody and his dog is buying
(or selling). Research the com-pany as thoroughly as possible before
deciding to buy or sell. Don't buy in an overheated market and don't
sell when there is panic.



2)Gul Tekchandani
Chief investment officer, Sun F&C Asset Management

Every time I blunder in the market, it's because of excessive greed.
When share prices move up and I hear favourable stories, I don't think
of selling and always hope to make more. I remember buying shares of a
plastic furniture company at Rs 30. I had analysed the company and
predicted the stock would go up to Rs 90. I was right: the price touched
Rs 110. That's when I started hearing stories of the company doing so
well that the price would touch Rs 200. So I decided to hang on, in
spite of knowing better. Today, the stock trades at Rs 6.

Lessons:Discipline is the key.The market has a mind of its own, one
which is quite likely to confuse investors. You cannot make money in the
market by acting on market rumours. Listen to the stories, but do your
own research–and do it thoroughly. Make your buy or sell decision based
on your analysis of the company, not on what others have told you.So, if
you have invested in a company for the long term, and the price falls in
around three months, don't change your strategy. The company's
fundamentals have not changed–it's the market that's volatile. In the
long term, the fundamentals will reward you.Keep track of your
investments. However, investing for the long term does not mean you
forget about your holding. Stay alert, and monitor your stocks with a
view to improving your returns. Keep an eye on the changing economy,
because the fundamentals of a company are dynamic and change with the
overall economy.



3)Darshan Mehta
Chief executive officer, Anagram Stockbroking

In the early nineties, the primary market was extremely active, and,
like many retail investors, new issues made up a good chunk of my
portfolio. Back then, pricing of public issues was regulated–and,
invariably, conservative.So, even if you held on to allotted shares for
no reason other than inertia, you made a notional profit. I was allotted
2,000 shares of Essar Shipping, which I held on to because their cost
was significantly lower than the prevailing market price. My portfolio
of 85-90 scrips was filled with the likes of Essar Shipping–neither led
by a quality management nor the flavour of the season. I slept on them,
and lost out–my portfolio depleted in value substantially.On top of
that, the sheer size of my portfolio made it impossible for me to track
even those companies in which I was invested. One fine day, I gave the
list of my holdings–a whole lot of them worthless–to my broker, and
asked him to sell it at whatever price he got. But the damage had been done.

Lessons:Maintain a lean portfolio. Don't grow too big for your boots.
There's no point in having a portfolio of 90 stocks if you cannot track
them. If diversification is what you seek, you can achieve the objective
with just 10 stocks. What matters is not how many stocks you have in
your portfolio, but what kind of stocks these are. Moreover, the fewer
stocks in your portfolio, the easier it is to track them.Don't lose
sight of your initial objective. Invest with an objective in mind. Once
that objective is met, look to exit unless there are very good reasons
to stay invested. In rising markets, new issues ride on the coattails of
the bullishness, and list at hefty premiums to their issue prices. But
once the euphoria subsides, so does the share price. So, keep your
options open.


4)Parag Parikh
Chairman, Parag Parikh Financial
Advisory Services

I believe the key to any good investment is discipline and the ability
to control your emotions. Easier said than done. There have been times
when I have given in to my emotions–and paid the price.We do portfolio
management for clients. Once, we took money from investors when the
market was bullish. Obviously, since the market was on a roll, the risk
was higher–and so were the chances of going wrong. A disciplined
approach warrants that I take money from clients when there are ample
investment opportunities in the market, not when people are willing to
give me money. I should have had the guts to tell them, "no, don't give
me your money now, I'll tell you when to give it". But my emotions took
over, and I didn't.

Lessons:Don't get in at peaks. Stock markets are not always the
barometer of the economy, or even of a company. With globalisation and
hot fund flows, they have become glorified casinos and don't always
reflect the true worth of its constituents. Hence, always invest for the
long term and avoid short-term momentum plays. Bear in mind that
momentum works both ways: you could crash as easily as you soar.Don't
speculate.If you buy today and sell tomorrow, you're not
investing–you're trading. And that is one dangerous proposition. If you
don't understand technicals or are not clued in to the market grapevine,
the odds are stacked against you. Be flexible with your investment mix.
Don't hold stocks for the sake of holding equities. Sometimes, it's
better to hold cash or debt to maximise returns. Your investment mix
should reflect your perception of the market.


5)Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
Broker, Bombay Stock Exchange

When I am convinced about a story, I tend to go overboard–and
over-invest. At times, I have ended up investing a lot of money in
illiquid stocks, which is obviously difficult to manage. It's like
putting all your eggs in one basket.In the stock markets, both in India
and elsewhere, people tend to invest only when there is a wave of
euphoria sweeping the markets. It's a general tendency to act on the
belief that one should not be left behind in a booming market, which is
a flawed argument.

Lessons:Don't be overstretched in a stock. Even if you have hit on a
great idea, review your allocations in a particular stock periodically.
Ideally, you should not invest more than 15 per cent of your portfolio
in one stock. Overexposure can be counter-productive, more so if a stock
is illiquid.


RESEARCH REPORTS

>INSIDE TRADING 02-12-2008

530355Asian Oilfield Services Ltd.Avinash Chandra Manchanda25/11/2008B28681
2686812.38
530355Asian Oilfield Services Ltd.Krishna Kant25/11/2008B150000
3512303.11
500024Assam Company LtdMavi Investment Fund Ltd.28/11/2008S154880485.00115119523.72
500024Assam Company LtdAssam Oil Company Ltd.28/11/2008B154880485.0011908804838.45
503722Banswara Syntex Ltd.,Ravindra Kumar Toshniwal21/11/2008B82620.068942906.83
503722Banswara Syntex Ltd.,Ravindra Kumar Toshniwal25/11/2008B80000.069022906.89
531937Beckons Industries Ltd.Shri Jasjot Singh26/11/2008B1300
2533940.94
504646Bhagwati Autocast LimitedMs. Reena P. Bhagwati.17/11/2008 - 19/11/2008B719
30055610.43
504646Bhagwati Autocast LimitedMrs. Mandakini P. Bhagwati.18/11/2008 - 19/11/2008B350
2307768.01
531590Bilpower Ltd.Prabha Devi Choudhary.24/11/2008B60630.05429090.40
530871Chembond Chemicals Ltd.Sameer V. Shah (HUF)20/11/2008B1337
--
532339Compucom Software Lt.Compucom Technologies Pvt Ltd--B2200
255853610.18
526829Confidence Petroleum India LimitedMr. Nitin Poonamchand Khara25/11/2008B50889
4981571
522295Control Print (India) Ltd.Shiva Kabra26/11/2008B2105
2869763.82
522295Control Print (India) Ltd.Basant Kabra - HUF03/11/2008 - 07/11/2008B17477
2636153.45
522295Control Print (India) Ltd.Silver Plastochem Pvt Ltd12/11/2008 - 24/11/2008B25443
156801220.85
512093Cranes Software International Ltd.Copthall Mauritius Invest. Ltd & Pac26/11/2008B23274302.037959660
523890D.S.Kulkarni Developers LtdD.S.Kulkarni.19/11/2008B5700002.2116664996.46
500096Dabur India Ltd.Mathews International Funds21/11/2008S631423
270835133.13
500096Dabur India Ltd.Mr.Sunil Duggal24/11/2008B20000
15511080.17
532608Deccan Chronicle Holdings Ltd.T Venkattram Reddy26/11/2008B525000
5142741621.00
532608Deccan Chronicle Holdings Ltd.T Vinayak Ravi Reddy26/11/2008B525000
5142741621.00
532608Deccan Chronicle Holdings Ltd.P K Iyer26/11/2008B525000
5142741621.00
511072Dewan Housing Finance Corpn. Ltd.,Wadhawan Holdings Pvt. Ltd.24/11/2008 - 25/11/2008B7694
37770356.24
511072Dewan Housing Finance Corpn. Ltd.,Wadhawan Holdings Pvt. Ltd.26/11/2008B23064
38000996.28
531923Dhampure Speciality Sugars Ltd.Mr.Sorabh Gupta--B5000
184305125.74
532526Dishman Pharmaceuticals & Chemicals Ltd.Ms Aditi J Vyas26/11/2008B25419
704190.08
532868DLF LIMITEDRajeev Talwar24/11/2008B10000
35560
522261Dolphin Offshore Enterprises (India) ltd.Rear Admiral Kirpal Singh25/11/2008 - 26/11/2008B3463
4852705.07
504000Elpro International Ltd.,Faridabad Investment Company Ltd25/11/2008B100000.02162064241.01
526227Filatex India Ltd.Purrshottam Bhaggeria21/11/2008 - 26/11/2008B38065
14116498.24
501848Garware Offshore Services LimitedAshok B Garware14/11/2008 - 21/11/2008B9315
1225030.51
532345Gati LimitedMahendra Kumar Agarwal24/11/2008 - 25/11/2008B24500
15389931.82
532715Gitanjali Gems Ltd.Mehul C. Choksi24/11/2008B260000.033604450042.37
532754GMR Infrastructure LimitedGMR Holdings Pvt Ltd28/11/2008B14000000.07133501361073.32
500467Harrisons Malayalam Ltd.,Pankaj Kapoor14/11/2008 - 20/11/2008B2526
677200.36
500467Harrisons Malayalam Ltd.,Pankaj Kapoor21/11/2008 - 26/11/2008B2280
700000.37
522073Hi-Tech Gears Ltd.,Anuj Kapuria25/11/2008B1518
4032674.30
531524I.C.S.A. (India) Ltd.CLSA (Mauritius) Ltd.26/11/2008S19635004.2019255294.11
512237Jai Corp LimitedShri Anand Jain25/11/2008 - 26/11/2008B30000
35118401.97
531543Jindal Worldwide Ltd.Dr. Yamunadutt A Agrawal26/11/2008B15000007.48479480023.91
531543Jindal Worldwide Ltd.Mrs. Kaushal Y Agrawal26/11/2008S15000007.4820000009.97
532926Jyothy Laboratories LimitedM P Ramachandran18/11/2008B1796
685861847.25
532926Jyothy Laboratories LimitedM P Ramachandran19/11/2008 - 21/11/2008B2326
686094447.27
532926Jyothy Laboratories LimitedM G Shanthakumari18/11/2008B300
3123402.15
532889K.P.R. Mill Ltd.K P Ramasamy12/11/2008 - 14/11/2008B30000
797504421.16
532889K.P.R. Mill Ltd.KPD Sigamani12/11/2008 - 14/11/2008B30000
797599621.16
532889K.P.R. Mill Ltd.P Nataraj12/11/2008 - 19/11/2008B30000
797509021.16
511131Kamanwala Housing Construction LtdSudha Gupta24/11/2008S10000
2379201.69
507779Kanpur Plastipack LimitedSantosh Agawral17/10/2008B2000903.774532508.54
507779Kanpur Plastipack LimitedManoj Agawral (HUF)17/10/2008S1364202.571432102.70
502937Kesoram Industries LtdB K Birla24/11/2008B15854
1119940.24
502937Kesoram Industries LtdB K Birla26/11/2008B11000
1453210.31
502937Kesoram Industries LtdSmt. Sarala Devi Birla21/11/2008B4000
--
502937Kesoram Industries LtdB K Birla21/11/2008B7000
961400.21
532747Kingfisher Airlines LimitedDeccan Emerging Business VenturesPvt.Ltd24/11/2008S200000
15023630.56
511593Libord Infotech Ltd.Libord Exports Pvt. Ltd.--B224490.2889764911.22
513269Man Industries (India) LtdPriyal Mansukhani28/11/2008B970
6521881.22
523704Mastek LimitedAshank Desai.24/11/2008 - 25/11/2008B1400
318037911.82
523704Mastek LimitedKetan Mehta.24/11/2008 - 25/11/2008B1400
25124009.34
523704Mastek LimitedSudhakar Ram.25/11/2008B1450
278503110.35
523792Mazda Ltd.HSBC Bank (Mauritius) Ltd24/11/2008B3250007.633250007.63
501343Motor & General Finance (M.G.F.) LtRam Prakash & Co Pvt Ltd.--B15610.004881062.52
501343Motor & General Finance (M.G.F.) LtMGF Services Ltd.--B25000.013275001.69
501343Motor & General Finance (M.G.F.) LtRam Prakash & Co Pvt Ltd.--B84230.044965292.56
531096Mount Everest Mineral Water Ltd.Tata Tea Ltd24/11/2008B150000.041223565335.99
524816Natco Pharma Ltd.V.C.Nannapaneni.24/11/2008 - 25/11/2008B13848
785979428.03
524816Natco Pharma Ltd.Rajeev Nannapaneni.25/11/2008B2700
9041103.22
513023Nava Bharat Ventures LtdD Ashok28/11/2008B19500
6111000.78
513023Nava Bharat Ventures LtdA N Investments Pvt Ltd28/11/2008B200000.0235668324.57
513023Nava Bharat Ventures LtdSRT Investments Pvt Ltd28/11/2008B20788
0
500304NIIT Ltd.,Mrs. Renuka Vijay Thadani25/11/2008B235000.0110571170.64
500304NIIT Ltd.,Mrs. Neeti Pawar25/11/2008B235000.0113535990.82
507609Olympic Oil Industries Ltd.,Vijay Balwant Patil.19/11/2008S10000
5145021.00
531349Panacea Biotec Ltd.First Lucre Partnership Co.19/11/2008B174240.022552390.38
531349Panacea Biotec Ltd.Second Lucre Partnership Co.20/11/2008B50000.00566390.08
531349Panacea Biotec Ltd.First Lucre Partnership Co.20/11/2008B500000.073052390.45
531349Panacea Biotec Ltd.First Lucre Partnership Co.21/11/2008B500000.073552390.53
500322Panyam Cements & Mineral Inds. Ltd.Copthall Mauritius Investment Ltd.11/11/2008B13857008.651385700
500322Panyam Cements & Mineral Inds. Ltd.BSMA Ltd.11/11/2008S13857008.6500.00
531120Patel Engineering LtdPatel Realtors Pvt. Ltd.24/11/2008 - 26/11/2008B90000.021413472523.69
522205Praj Industries Ltd.Mr. Pramod Chaudhari26/11/2008B11754
2880920715.71
526247Premier Explosives Ltd.A N Gupta - HUF24/11/2008B7650.013489974.29
526247Premier Explosives Ltd.A N Gupta -HUF25/11/2008B25000.033514874.32
526247Premier Explosives Ltd.Kailash Gupta25/11/2008B14550.026967218.75
530695Prime Property Development Corporation Ltd.Padamshi L. Soni24/11/2008 - 26/11/2008B21255
889034944.45
520008RICO Auto Industries Ltd.Sushil Kumar Jain25/11/2008B2000
3500
523710Sayaji Hotel LtdSajid R. Dhanani12/11/2008 - 24/11/2008B5929
230193317.91
523710Sayaji Hotel LtdSajid R. Dhanani11/06/2008B30000
221883617.26
523710Sayaji Hotel LtdSajid R. Dhanani10/10/2008 - 14/10/2008B19317
226595017.63
523710Sayaji Hotel LtdSajid R. Dhanani20/10/2008 - 22/10/2008B17141
228309117.76
523710Sayaji Hotel LtdSajid R. Dhanani31/10/2008 - 11/11/2008B12913
229600417.86
523710Sayaji Hotel LtdSajid R. Dhanani30/09/2008 - 08/10/2008B27797
224663317.48
505075Setco Automotive LimitedUdit Sheth19/11/2008B2900
2678003.04
532793Shree Ashtavinayak Cine Vision LtdDahlia Traders Pvt. Ltd.26/11/2008S120000.11342582732.69
532793Shree Ashtavinayak Cine Vision LtdDahlia Traders Pvt. Ltd.28/11/2008S80000.07341782732.62
520086Sical Logistics LimitedJupiter India Fund&South Asia AccessFund19/11/2008B22724865.7532183448.14
520086Sical Logistics LimitedCredit Suisse (Singapore) Ltd.19/11/2008S18280004.63--
532833SPARSH BPO SERVICES LIMITEDKapil Puri25/11/2008B400
11215986.94
532348Subex LtdSubash Menon25/11/2008 - 26/11/2008B51100
23197186.65
500404Sunflag Iron & Steel Co. Ltd.,Supra Corporation Ltd01/12/2008B18000001.1122039101.35
532874Suryachakra Power Corporation Ltd.Mrs. M Mangatayaru26/11/2008 - 28/11/2008B61800
11536181.50
507785Tainwala Chemicals & Plastics LtdDr.Ramesh Tainwala26/11/2008B8000
00.00
507785Tainwala Chemicals & Plastics LtdDr.Ramesh Tainwala26/11/2008B49500
575000.61
526650Tourism Finance Corpn. Of India LtdIFCI Ltd09/09/2008 - 25/11/2008B16779272.0825029503
523387Triton Corp. Ltd.Rajendra Seclease Ltd12/11/2008S40000002.00--
523387Triton Corp. Ltd.Rajendra Seclease Ltd13/02/2008 - 18/11/2008S32776161.645968982229.86
532356Triveni Engineering & Industries LtdNikhil Sawhney21/11/2008 - 26/11/2008B268907
150715575.84
532356Triveni Engineering & Industries LtdDhruv M Sawhney21/11/2008 - 26/11/2008B1491535
197717107.67
530521Virat Industries Ltd.Adi Madan25/11/2008B4700
330220.67
532648Yes Bank Ltd.Sandeep Sarkar25/11/2008B10000
65000
506720Zandu Pharmaceuticals Works LtdEmami Ltd25/11/2008B21830.2755238268.50
B - Buy
S - Sale


RESEARCH REPORTS