Sunday, December 24, 2006

REALITY Alarm bells !!!!!!!!!!!

An obvious fallout from the property boom in the last two years has been a phenomenal mushrooming of new real estate developers. And now with the subsequent correction in prices along with the sheen wearing off from tier II cities, alarm bells are ringing at the signs of an impending shakeout.
The proliferation can be gauged from the fact that more than 4,000 to 4,500 small and medium developers have mushroomed in the last 24 months. In 2004, there were an estimated 1,500 to 2,000 developers across the country but the realty boom has taken the figure to more than 6,000 developers. In fact, entrepreneurs from diverse industries and backgrounds, both big and small have now got on the realty bandwagon.

However, now many in the industry feel the reason for correction in real estate prices is also due to problems that have enveloped some of these projects. Some new developers in many active markets have launched projects without taking required approvals from the state governments. Also, being new in the real estate sector, many developers have overbooked in certain pockets, which has resulted in prices crashing down and in many cases investors haven’t even got back the initial booking amount.

Says Sanjay Verma, executive MD, Cushman & Wakefield: ”The fast paced growth of the real estate industry is also giving rise to a large number of small and medium new developers. It’s natural that with the number of new projects growing, the development companies operating in the sector will increase. And given the scale of expansion this industry is bound to experience, it’s becoming increasingly critical and challenging for consumers to evaluate various options and understand various risk factors related to the developer and the project.

“Given the lack of background and track record information disclosure and established corporate governance for new small and medium players, this scenario further enforces the demand for creation of a federal regulatory body specifically for the real estate industry. In the long run, it will lead to consolidation in the industry.” Concern is mounting among both consumers as well as larger players over the sustainability of smaller new players who don’t have the requisite expertise. While in some cases investors may be stuck with dud projects, there are concerns over the negative rub off on the whole sector as a whole. Says Sanjay Chandra, MD, Unitech Group: ”People who don’t know what it takes to deliver a product and don’t have a organisation history and experience have entered the real estate sector in the last two years. In future these developers will find it tough to deliver a project and the end consumer will be the worst hit. A state regulator will help to track down all the black sheep which has entered real estate business in the last couple of years.”

Interestingly, these new developers were using the pre-launch route to announce their projects but now many state governments have banned the pre-launch schemes. They have also issued notices to several developers to return the money deposited by investors. Additionally, some of them have been castigated for not even having projects cleared from the governments and inviting bookings from consumers.

Tier III cities like Bhiwadi, Palwal, Rudrapur, Bhatinda and Dera Bassi, which have been the focus of some of this proliferation, have seen prices come down by 20 to 25% in the last two quarters and speculative activity has also come down in several pockets.

Says the promoter of a top real estate group, “It is all related to growth and in this kind of boom, one does see these kind of operators in the market. Frankly, you cannot stop them from entering the market and slowly you will see them fizzling out. Though both the industry and the consumers will be victims, this is the how the market functions.”
source :- economic times

Thursday, December 21, 2006

ICICI Raises Record $1 Billion in Yen to Fund Lending

ICICI Bank Ltd., India's largest by market value, raised $1 billion by borrowing in yen, the biggest syndicated loan by a bank from the South Asian nation, to meet credit demand.

The loan will be split into three portions of $350 million, $450 million and $200 million maturing in one year to three years, the Mumbai-based bank said in an e-mailed statement today. The loan agreement was signed yesterday in Geneva.

ICICI and other banks in India are raising money to fund lending as the $775 billion economy expands at an annual pace of 8 percent, spurring companies and consumers to borrow more. At ICICI, loans surged 47 percent in the quarter ended Sept. 30.

``We may use a part of the loan for domestic purposes in retail, corporate and rural lending and for corporate lending in our international operations,'' Chanda Kochhar, deputy managing director, ICICI Bank, said from Geneva. ``The $1 billion loan syndication is a benchmark deal as this facility marks the largest syndicated loan for an Indian bank borrower.''

Twenty-six banks participated in the facility, the largest number for loan syndication by any Indian bank in the international market, ICICI Bank said. They included BNP Paribas SA, Royal Bank of Scotland Plc, Standard Chartered Plc, HSBC Holdings Plc, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. and Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp.

Interest Rates

ICICI Bank will raise the funds in yen to save on withholding tax because of lower Japanese interest rates, and swap the proceeds into rupee, bankers involved in the deal said last month. The three-month yen London Interbank offered rate, or Libor, is 0.5456 percent, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The comparable U.S. dollar rate is 5.36 percent.

The bank got ``very competitive'' rates, Kochhar said, declining to specify the loan rate.

Indian companies are also tapping overseas markets to access larger amounts, said Bhaskar Desai, treasurer at Bank of Nova Scotia in Mumbai.

``The risk appetite of overseas investors is good, helping local companies borrow more from overseas,'' Desai said.

ICICI's joint managing director, Kalpana Morparia, said in October that rising consumer loans, increasing investment by Indian corporations and overseas acquisitions, combined with the government's push to expand credit in rural India, will sustain growth in the world's fastest-growing major economy after China.

Chief Executive Officer K.V. Kamath predicted the funds needed by local companies will more than double to $175 billion in three years.

Economic Growth

The Indian economy may expand ``close to 9 percent'' in the year to March 31, Finance Minister P. Chidambaram said today. The economy is poised to expand more than 8 percent for a fourth straight year. The government aims to lift economic growth to as much as 10 percent to eliminate poverty in a nation of 1.1 billion people.

The bank raised $400 million selling five-year bonds in October, receiving demand for $1 billion from investors.

ICICI Bank shares, up 73 percent in the past six months, fell 0.5 percent to 854.55 rupees at the 3:30 p.m. close of trading on the Bombay Stock Exchange.

GOLDTECH (MADDNESS)



FRIENDS why is that we usually miss these humongous mad moves this stock doubled in flat 6 days from a low of 24 from where this vertical journey started and is still no looking back.
cheers
rish

note:-THIS STOCK WAS AT 550+ LRVELS BACK IN 2001

FOURSOFT


FOURSOFT probably trading in 5th wave minimum target 77 sl can be kept for intraday players as 66 else a good delivery bet.
cheers
rish


note:- DO SEE MARKET DIRECTION BEFORE ENTERING TRADE