Wednesday, September 20, 2006

Stocks finish lower on coup in Thailand


(AP) Stocks dropped suddenly Tuesday after a state of emergency was declared in Thailand and rumors of a military coup followed.

Traders watching Thailand closely are certain to remember how trouble in the kingdom has had worldwide implications in the past: The Asia currency crisis that erupted in 1997 began with the devaluation of the Thai baht, then snowballed into an international economic crisis. Thailand was the world's fastest growing economy between 1985 and 1995 and was the country that introduced people to the benefits - and risks -- of investing in the tiger economies of Asia, according to David Riedel, president of Riedel Research Group, a New York City-based provider of independent equity research focusing on emerging markets.
The coup occurred as Thailand's Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra was in New York City for the annual United Nations General Assembly meeting. Plans for Thaksin to address the U.N. late Tuesday were scrapped.
"The prime minister with the approval of the cabinet declares serious emergency law in Bangkok from now on," Thaksin said on Channel 9 from New York, the Associated Press reported.
Thaksin also said he was transferring the nation's army chief to work in the prime minister's office, effectively suspending him from his military duties, according to reports. The Thai military revoked the country's constitution after it seized power.
The stock market, banks and schools in Thailand will be closed on Wednesday as a result of the takeover.
The baht fell sharply Tuesday, as did Brazil's real, which also tumbled in the '97 crisis.

Thailand, usually one of Southeast Asia's most stable countries, has been in a state of political flux this year after massive rallies forced Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra to dissolve Parliament. Thaksin, who was in New York attending the United Nations General Assembly, has faced calls to step down amid allegations of corruption and abuse of power.Crude oil futures plummeted after OPEC played down the likelihood of a production cut. A barrel of light crude settled at $61.66, down $2.14, in trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.INDIA also felt the heat due to its proximity to the couped nation stocks fell sharply in last 45 mins of trade almost a panic like situation( Traders watching Thailand closely are certain to remember how trouble in the kingdom has had worldwide implications in the past) Todays trade should clear the direction of markets as the news is now known world over .....

Tuesday, September 19, 2006

Amaranth funds fall 50% on gas trades


Amaranth Advisors LLC, a hedge-fund manager with about $9.5 billion in assets, told investors its two main funds fell an estimated 50 percent this month because of a plunge in natural-gas prices.``We are in discussions with our prime brokers and other counterparties and are working to protect our investors while meeting the obligations of our creditors," Nick Maounis, the 43-year-old founder of the Greenwich, Conn. -based firm, said in a letter to investors obtained by Bloomberg News. The funds, which had gained 26 percent through August, are down at least 35 percent for the year, or about $4.6 billion.

Amaranth made so-called spread trades that try to profit from price discrepancies among futures contracts.

``The speed with which leveraged funds can evaporate is mind boggling," said Mark Williams, a professor of finance and economics at Boston University specializing in energy markets.

Investors said the funds, Amaranth International and Amaranth Partners, wagered that the difference between futures prices for natural gas in the summer and winter months would continue to get larger, a trend that's held since at least the beginning of 2004. Futures are contracts to buy or sell a commodity on a specific date at a preset price.

Instead, the spread collapsed. The difference in price between the 2007 March and April contracts for natural gas peaked in July at $2.60. That shrunk to $1.15 by the end of last week. The spread between the two was about 75 cents today on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

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